Predicting Corporate Financial Distress. Evidence from Chinese Growth Enterprises

      Аннотация: This book presents a study which makes the first attempt to construct a particular financial distress prediction model for growth enterprises on the Growth Enterprise Markets in Hong Kong and mainland China. This study firstly establishes two financial distress prediction models: one incorporating financial factors and the other incorporating non-financial and macroeconomic factors. Based on these two models, the present work develops a financial distress prediction model, which uses all the three sets of factors. It has been found that the model including firm-specific non-financial and macroeconomic factors performs better in predicting growth enterprises’ financial distress than does the model including firm-specific financial factors. Moreover, the model that considers all the three sets of factors has better predictive ability than does the model that incorporates firm-specific financial factors. It can be envisaged that investors, auditors and policymakers of the special markets would find the conclusion of this work extremely useful.

Ключевые слова: corporate financial distress, prediction, Growth Enterprise Market, Hong Kong, China