A New Research Framework of Strategic Emerging Industries. From the view of business cycle

      Аннотация: This research project plans to study the coupling promoting mechanism and related policies of strategic emerging industries and traditional industries under divergence of financial cycles and business cycles, under “New Normal” economy and interdependent globalization background. Through constructing multi-level dynamic factor analysis model, the study combines financial economic cycle theory, industry theory, economic growth theory, and their index system. Based on the EIU global macro database, CEIC database, Ceinet statistics database, national research on strategic information industry database, large sample data of China's industrial enterprises and customs import and export enterprises, the study will analyze the external and internal impact on strategic emerging industries and traditional industries, to reveal the importance of the research on the coordination of strategic emerging industries and traditional industries. Accordingly, the research analysis will put forward policy recommendations for the coupling promoting mechanism of strategic emerging industries and traditional industries, which has important theoretical significance and practical application value.

Ключевые слова: Business Cycle Synchronization, Strategic Emerging Industries, policy coordination